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# Bravos Research: Nobody Will See This Coming
- URL: https://www.smartinvestingsociety.com/bravos-research-nobody-will-see-this-coming/
- Published: 2024-10-18T11:47:36.000Z
- Updated: 2024-10-18T11:47:36.000Z
- Author: Smart Investing
- Tags: Economy, Technical Analysis, #wp, #wp-post, #Import 2026-09-30 15:32

Currently, the global economy is on track for a “soft landing.” That means that inflation is moderating, thanks to interest rate hikes by central banks. But the economy has escaped a recession.

That’s good news. But it’s also an idea that was floated in 2000 and 2007\. Those dates preceded hard landings for the economy. A soft landing often looks attainable. But it’s also possible that the softening data could coalesce into a recession.

Meanwhile, the media is currently looking at a soft landing. So it’s likely that we’re nearing a point where a recession could start. Most interest rate hike cycles end before the start of a recession. A soft landing is a much rarer event.

Consequently, investors likely won’t see a recession coming. That could mean being unpleasantly surprised by markets. While it seems unlikely with stock near all-time highs, similar market peaks occurred in 2000 and 2007.

The key sign for a recession is unemployment. It’s currently on the rise. The recent growth of government jobs is hiding a deteriorating private sector. However, with the overall rate still low, this could mark a rare occasion for a soft landing.

A soft landing could still mean weaker market performance in 2025\. Investors may want to lighten up on their strongest-performing positions and take some profits into the end of the year.

[To view the full video, click here.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x%5FKLmi8Zw4M&ref=smartinvestingsociety.com)